• 2025-06-16
  • I have a job interview with them today!
  • I have a rough model, but now is a good time to make some predictions

My model/predictions

  1. The CEA is the organisation that organises events - 95%
    1. ✅ - I meant to say events like the conferences
  2. The CEA the main “meta” organisation in the EA space (the org specifically about the EA space) - 95%
    • GiveWell, Open Phil are the main grantmakers, 80,000 Hours is the career advice org, vs EAG is meta
    • ✅ correct!
  3. CEA coordinates EA volunteer efforts, e.g. EA community building, regional groups (95%)
    • ✅ correct
  4. CEA’s main functions are events & community building, and I guess also the forum but that feels more simple/secondary - 70%
    • Decent chance I’m forgetting something obvious here…
    • ✅ correct
      1. Global conferences
      2. Supporting student and city groups 
      3. Community support 
      4. Online resources and a Forum 
      5. Communications
  5. Will McAskill is part of the senior leadership (perhaps by being on the board)
    • 80%
    • ❌ damn! He’s not on their website & no mention on e.g. wikipedia of him being on the board. He totally could be, but I can’t find any evidence. Also maybe there isn’t a board, idk how these things work
  6. Will McAskill and Toby Ord founded the CEA - 60%
    • My “how did EA start” model is poor but this feels kinda right, I feel like Will & Toby (inspired by Singer) are the two OGs
    • ✅ nice
  7. CEA runs/hosts/maintains/is responsible for the EA forum - 99%
  8. CEA was founded after 2008 - 80%
    • I forget when EA started, I think like 2011
  9. CEA has an office in London - 80%
    • I’m getting a little confused re: who has offices in London vs Oxford…
    • ❓ they actually may have one in London, but it says online that they’re Oxford-based! And I can’t find anything written up re: them having a London office
    • I’m gonna leave this prediction open and ask someone, maybe my interviewer
  10. CEA has a US office too - 70%
    • When I think CEA I think London/UK (pretty sure Toby Ord and Will McAskill met at Oxford?)
    • But it seems likely that one of the biggest EA orgs would have remote workers, and also that there’d be enough Americans working at CEA and living in San Fran/NYC/DC to make an office somewhere make sense
    • But there is a world where CEA is fully remote…
    • ❓ - can’t find an answer, but it may just not be publicly broadcast. Will ask someone!

Things I don’t know

  • What is the rough org chart? Who are the leaders? Like, is there a CEO? What teams are there?
  • Do they have publicly available culture docs? E.g., Open Phil’s “reasoning transparency” is public (got recommended to me a bunch at EAG), vs Longview’s doc with their 5 values isn’t public
  • Who founded it? What has its trajectory been? E.g., I’ve heard about some EA orgs being like “spun out”

The role I’m applying for is in the events team - idk much about events!

  • How many EAGs are there per year?
    • I think it’s London and then at least one American one
    • My mode is “one UK, one US”
    • But now I’m wondering, because maybe there’s like an EAG San Fran, and EAG Boston, and EAG New York?
    • 🤔 Prediction → there is only 1 American EAG per year → 40%
      • I think there’ll be a West Coast EAG, an East Coast EAG, and a London EAG. I think that’s the set
      • ❌ → as expected, there’s one on each coast!
    • 🤔 Prediction → the EAGs are West Coast + East Coast + London → 60%
      • ✅ hell yeah! Bay + NYC + London
    • 🤔 Prediction → there is >1 American EAG per year → 70%
      • ✅ yeah boiiii
    • 🤔 Prediction → EAG London is the only European EAG per year → 80%
      • ✅ Yep!
    • 🤔 Prediction → EAGs only occur in Europe + North America (the rest are EAGx-s) → 90%
  • How many EAGx-s are there per year?
    • 🤔 Prediction → there are >5 EAGx-s per year → 80%
      • I’ve heard of… Berlin, maybe Prague, maybe the Philippines? And no doubt they’ll be others, an easy >5 IMO
      • ✅ By my count on the website, it’s 9 in 2025 → Prague, Nordics, CDMX, India, Amsterdam, Australasia, Berlin, Sao Paulo, Nigeria. So cool!!!
    • 🤔 Prediction → there are >15 EAGx-s per year → 30%
    • 🤔 Prediction → there are >=30 EAGx-s per year → 5% → that’d be mad
  • How big is the events team?
    • 🤔 Prediction → the CEA events team is <10 people → 60% → lean team seems right
      • ❌ No, it’s 12!
    • 🤔 Prediction → the CEA events team is 10-20 people → 40% → could imagine like 10 or 11
      • ✅ it’s 12!
    • 🤔 Prediction → the CEA events team is >20 people → 1%
      • ❌ as expected, nice
  • What is the org chart of the events team?
  • Are the events team always on the ground at the events?
  • Do the events team coordinate the volunteers?
  • How are functions split across the events team? What are the AORs?

Starting a Miro board

  • I’m a huge huge huge fan of Miro for knowledge management/project management

Current confusions

  • I feel surprised, actually, that a team of 11 can run 3 EAGs and 9 EAGx-s per year. Like, there must be a lot of logistics involved!!
  • Although perhaps it was hardest at first and now they have great SOPs, already scoped out venues, already know the recipe for a successful EAG, a successful EAGx
    • Makes me wonder - when was the first EAG? When did EAGx-s become a thing?
    • 2015 - 2 events (3 years after CEA founding)